Premier League Betting Insights: Jones Knows’ Weekend Predictions
As the Premier League weekend approaches, our football betting expert, Jones Knows, returns with his insightful analysis and predictions for the upcoming matches. This week, he’s particularly keen on Ipswich’s chances against West Ham, but let’s dive into the full slate of fixtures and see where the smart money might be placed.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool (Saturday 12.30pm)
Crystal Palace faces a daunting task as they host Liverpool, who have been defensively solid under new head coach Arne Slot. The Reds have conceded just two goals in their last six league matches, boasting an impressive expected goals against (xGA) of only 0.75 per 90 minutes, the best in the league.
Palace’s recent struggles in creativity have been evident, particularly in their last outing against Everton, where they managed a meager 0.22 xG from open play. Tyrick Mitchell’s inability to convert crosses into effective chances has been a significant hindrance, as he leads the league in unsuccessful crosses.
Given Liverpool’s current form and Palace’s attacking woes, Jones recommends backing Liverpool to win with under 4.5 goals at odds of 10/11 with Sky Bet.
Score Prediction: 0-2
Arsenal vs Southampton (Saturday 3pm)
Arsenal’s Gabriel Magalhaes has emerged as a goal-scoring threat from the back, leading all defenders in goals scored since last season. Southampton’s vulnerability at set pieces, having conceded six goals from such situations this season, could play right into Arsenal’s hands.
With Arsenal’s attacking prowess and Southampton’s defensive frailties, Jones suggests a bet on Gabriel to score first at 14/1 with Sky Bet.
Score Prediction: 2-0
Brentford vs Wolves (Saturday 3pm)
Wolves have struggled recently, taking just one point from their last nine league games. However, their performances have shown promise, and they have been unlucky with a high shot conversion rate against them.
Jones believes that Wolves can turn their luck around against Brentford, who he rates similarly in terms of projected points this season. The value lies in backing Wolves to win at 5/2 with Sky Bet.
Score Prediction: 1-2 | Best Bet: Wolves double chance (8/11 with Sky Bet)
Leicester vs Bournemouth (Saturday 3pm)
Leicester’s performances have been lackluster, and they are at risk of a heavy defeat if they continue to allow so many shots against them. Bournemouth, on the other hand, has been a strong attacking force, particularly in the first half.
Jones sees value in Antoine Semenyo to have one or more shots on target in the first half at even odds.
Score Prediction: 1-3
Manchester City vs Fulham (Saturday 3pm)
Marco Silva’s Fulham has a poor record against Pep Guardiola’s City, but they have managed to score in seven of their last nine encounters. City’s defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed recently, making this match intriguing.
Jones suggests betting on City to win with both teams to score at 7/4 with Sky Bet.
Score Prediction: 3-1
West Ham vs Ipswich (Saturday 3pm)
West Ham has struggled to find consistency, making them a risky bet at 4/5 with Sky Bet for a home win. Ipswich, meanwhile, is showing signs of improvement and could capitalize on West Ham’s uncertainty.
Jones believes Ipswich can avoid defeat at the London Stadium, making them an attractive bet at Evens with Sky Bet.
Score Prediction: 1-2
Everton vs Newcastle (Saturday 5.30pm)
In a match that could see Everton receiving more cards than Newcastle, Jones highlights Everton’s disciplined style of play, which tends to limit the number of fouls committed.
The odds of 5/6 with Sky Bet for Everton to receive more cards than Newcastle look promising.
Score Prediction: 2-1 | Best Bet: Everton to receive more cards than Newcastle (5/6 with Sky Bet)
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest (Sunday 2pm)
Chelsea’s recent form has been encouraging, but Nottingham Forest’s defensive capabilities under Nuno Espirito Santo should not be underestimated.
Jones suggests considering the under 2.5 goals line at 6/4 with Sky Bet, given Forest’s solid defensive record.
Score Prediction: 1-0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United (Sunday 2pm)
Manchester United’s inconsistency makes this match unpredictable. However, Villa’s recent exertions in the Champions League could play a role in their performance.
Jones sees value in Youri Tielemans to register an assist at 7/2 with Sky Bet.
Score Prediction: 1-1
Brighton vs Tottenham (Sunday 4.30pm)
With both teams playing an attacking style, this match promises excitement. Jones recommends betting on Dejan Kulusevski to score or assist at 11/8 with Sky Bet.
Score Prediction: 2-3 | Best Bet: Dejan Kulusevski to score or assist (13/8 with Sky Bet)
Conclusion
As the Premier League weekend unfolds, Jones Knows provides a wealth of betting insights that could help punters make informed decisions. From Liverpool’s defensive solidity to Ipswich’s potential upset against West Ham, there are plenty of opportunities to explore. Always remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the beautiful game!